<p>Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits. </p><p><br></p><p>Tommy Grisafi is the main host and content creator for Ag Bull Media. <br>The Ag Bull Podcast showcases agriculture's top talents in a long-form video format. The Ag Bull Trading Podcast is a deeper discussion of trading with analysts and key players in agriculture nationwide.</p><p><br></p><p><br></p><p><em>Futures trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.</em></p>
We start with a fast midday read on crop conditions and the grain and livestock tape, then shift to a filmmaker who’s trying to bridge the gap between rural life and everyone who benefits from it. We talk with Sam Goldberg about Perfect Sundays, a dairy farming limited series built to spark real conversations about suicide, grief, resilience, and what it takes to keep a family farm standing.
• Midday crop progress and price action for corn, soybeans, wheat, cattle, and hogs
• Sam’s path from New York City storyteller to rural filmmaker and producer
• How Silo introduced him to grain entrapment and small-town tragedy
• Why Perfect Sundays uses Sundays, ice cream, and loss to frame healing
• Shooting on an active seventh-generation dairy for lived-in realism
• Bringing in ag voices and familiar faces to earn trust and boost authenticity
• Mother-son farm tension, estate planning stress, and the nonstop reality of milking
• Practical ways to start mental health talks without forcing the deepest topic first
• Land Logic and the episode-by-episode conversation guide as a viewing companion
• A quick detour into classic films, attention, and letting stories “digest”
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Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits.
We run through the morning’s ag market setup, from overnight grain strength to softer livestock and the latest crop rating changes. We also dig into why managed money is pressing lean hog shorts and how falling crude oil and Gulf risk feed into diesel costs and broader market sentiment.
• early market quotes across cattle, hogs, corn, soybeans, and Chicago wheat
• harvest and winter wheat planting weather window plus tropical system watch in the Gulf
• U.S. corn good-to-excellent rating down to 54% with notable state moves in the Western Corn Belt
• why managed money positioning matters in lean hog futures and what a record net short can signal
• crude oil price pullback, Middle East export strength, Gulf tensions, and the ripple effect on diesel
• key calendar items including ADP employment change and Purdue Ag Sentiment timing
Make sure and catch this show every day on X.
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Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits.
We walk through a choppy start to the week across grains and livestock, then zoom in on what harvest is doing to cash markets and basis. Randy Martinson joins us to frame WASDE week risk, the next key price levels, and how crop insurance belongs in the same toolbox as futures, basis, and on-farm storage.
• daily export sales and export inspections shaping demand expectations
• harvest-driven basis weakness and why corn basis often bottoms mid-October
• field updates from the Fargo area on soybeans, corn, and weather delays
• why wheat export demand stays sluggish despite global supply shifts
• what the trade watches in the October WASDE tables and revisions
• realistic downside levels for corn and soybeans if surprises hit
• fund positioning risk and a scaled reownership approach
• seasonal livestock supply pressure plus the impact of imported beef
• diesel and fertilizer sticker shock driving fall application decisions
• storing extra soybeans for potentially stronger crush-plant basis later
• crop insurance harvest price, claims, and how coverage guides marketing limits
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Tommy's Premium Subscription: www.agbull.com
AgBull Audio and Video Links:
Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits.
We map out why overnight trade turns two-sided and why all eyes stay locked on Friday’s USDA report. We also dig into fund positioning, harvest weather, Brazil’s election and currency moves, and what all of it could mean for corn, beans, wheat, cattle, and hogs.
• early grain read on corn, beans, wheat, and soybean oil strength
• cattle and hog market softness alongside higher feed and diesel costs
• Midwest harvest pace outlook and rain risks, plus South America planting watch
• open interest and Commitment of Traders signals as funds start exiting corn and trimming beans
• Brazil election uncertainty, the Brazilian real, and export competitiveness implications
• soybean oil stocks surprise, crude oil drift, and the day’s U.S. data calendar
• how our premium intel, videos, and newsletters are delivered across the day
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Give us a call at 1-855-737-Farm.
Tommy's Premium Subscription: www.agbull.com
AgBull Audio and Video Links:
Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits.
We sort through a brutal week for ag markets, tying the selloff to harvest pressure, a drier Corn Belt forecast, and a USDA corn stocks number that shocks even the highest trade guess. We also track diesel policy headlines, muddy China trade signals, and farm program payments, then close with practical calendar items and ten reasons to stay optimistic.
• weekly performance recap across corn, soybeans, wheat, cotton, hogs, and soy oil
• drier 10- to 15-day weather outlook driving faster harvest and weaker basis
• USDA corn stocks report topping all estimates and what could explain it
• why feed and residual create debate and potential revisions
• Diesel export ban chatter, G7 supply pledges, and what it means at the farm gate
• Dyed diesel and fuel tax questions that matter for hauling economics
• China trade update with no clear tariff cut timeline and what to watch next
• September jobs report, bond yields, and why stocks like weaker hiring
• ARC PLC payment timing, CCC funding, and what farmers should expect
• SDRP stage two top-up outlook and possible formula fixes
• Farm Bill 2.0 negotiations heading into the post-election session
• Mexico feeder cattle crossings slowed by weather and still running behind
• Global food prices hitting four-year highs and what is driving them
• Key reports and events coming up this week, including trade data and USDA reports
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Tommy's Premium Subscription: www.agbull.com
AgBull Audio and Video Links:
Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits.
We close out a frustrating Friday with soggy harvest conditions, fresh yield estimates, and a hard look at what the markets do when they cannot get real field data. We also track diesel driven cost pressure, trade headlines from Canada and China, a new wolves documentary, and the weekend weather setup.
• flooding concerns in Grundy County, Iowa and what delayed harvest can do to market psychology
• StoneX versus S&P Global yield estimates for corn and soybeans and why the spread matters
• grain and livestock futures recap including corn losing the five handle and cattle pressure versus stronger hogs
• Farm Bureau diesel cost modeling and how fuel inflation hits harvest budgets
• fertilizer price index versus expected new crop revenue and the margin squeeze story
• Canada US tariff war tone and the impact of political rhetoric on negotiations
• China trade treatment for beef and pork and why exports matter for herd rebuilding incentives
• “Minnesota Fed to the Wolves” and the clash between wildlife policy and property rights
• weather outlook for heavy rain risk, California heat, and the Midwest drying window
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Tommy's Premium Subscription: www.agbull.com
AgBull Audio and Video Links:
Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits.
We give a fast, no-nonsense run through cattle, hogs, and grain markets, then tie price action to weather and fresh yield estimates. We also look at carcass weight trends, major headlines out of the Middle East, and the economic reports that can move sentiment in a hurry.
• live cattle and feeder cattle finish modestly higher while lean hogs fade
• December corn, soybeans, and Chicago wheat levels to watch overnight
• wettest 30 day stretch in parts of the Plains and Western Corn Belt, then a sharp dry turn
• StoneX October survey estimates for soybean yield and corn yield, plus why state-by-state matters
• carcass weights showing less seasonality and a later seasonal climb
• troop deployment news and how geopolitics can add market risk
• jobs report, factory orders, and Commitment of Traders on the calendar
If you have any questions about marketing, trying to hedge your risk, make sure and give us a call. It’s 855-737-Farm.
Tommy's Premium Subscription: www.agbull.com
AgBull Audio and Video Links:
Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits.
We sit down with Krista Swanson of the National Corn Growers Association to name the frustrations corn growers are feeling and to put real numbers behind what is happening in costs, policy, and demand. We leave the doom loop to focus on clear-eyed economics, practical decision-making, and where future profitability could actually come from.
• the day’s export sales and market settlements for corn, soybeans, wheat, and livestock
• Krista’s path from an Illinois farm to chief economist at NCGA
• why her work centers on helping people turn information into decisions
• what NCGA’s input cost task force learns from U.S. versus Brazil comparisons
• why higher productivity does not automatically show up as better margins
• how regulation, market structure, and consistent pricing gaps may shape input costs
• why year-round E15 keeps stalling and how the politics slow progress
• why USMCA matters for Mexico corn exports, Canada ethanol demand, and potash supply
• what the joint grower survey shows about farm financial stress and profitability expectations
• how wet harvest conditions and overlapping crop cycles complicate input planning
• the long-term 10 10 10 strategy for maritime fuel, sustainable aviation fuel, and bioplastics
Tommy's Premium Subscription: www.agbull.com
AgBull Audio and Video Links:
Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits.
We break down the grain stocks report shock that slammed corn futures and explain why a bigger-than-expected inventory number can rewrite the balance sheet fast. We also track flooding-driven weather risk, improving choice-or-better cattle grading, and why a surging 10-year Treasury yield can pressure every market tied to credit.
• live cattle, feeder cattle, and lean hog moves into the close
• quick check on corn, soybean prices, and Chicago wheat futures
• flash flooding impacts across Nebraska, Kansas, Iowa, and beyond
• grain stocks report details and what the corn stocks miss signals
• why cattle grade choice or better, including the role of age
• 10-year Treasury yield surge and what higher rates change for ag
• key data on the economic calendar including export sales and ISM
Tommy's Premium Subscription: www.agbull.com
AgBull Audio and Video Links:
Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits.
Report day turns into a real rodeo as corn sells off, beans resist, and the numbers remind us how fast the market can humble “smart money.” We pivot from the USDA shock to the part that hits the farm checkbook hardest right now: fertilizer and fuel costs, plus what they mean for next year’s margins.
• key USDA grain stocks takeaways and the first market read
• how futures react across corn, soybeans, wheat, cattle, and hogs
• anhydrous ammonia, UAN, urea, DAP, MAP, and potash price trends using a Midwest average
• why phosphates look stubborn and why that matters for post-harvest applications
• farm diesel Ruby Red and propane pricing and what it means for harvest operations
• year over year nutrient comparisons and the fertilizer price index vs expected new crop corn revenue
• planning next season early by talking with retailers and building a real budget
Agbull.com, call 855-737 Farm to subscribe or visit Agbull.com
Tommy's Premium Subscription: www.agbull.com
AgBull Audio and Video Links:
Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits.